Is there a relationship between economic indicators and road fatalities in Texas? A multiscale geographically weighted regression analysis

Ayodeji E Iyanda

Tolulope Osayomi

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To assess spatial heterogeneity in geographic data, geographically weighted regression (GWR) has been widely used. This study used an advanced version of GWR, multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), which provides a unique extension that allows each predictor to be associated with a distinct bandwidth in predicting traffic fatalities in Texas. Traffic data from fatality analysis reporting system (FARS) between 2010 and 2015, aggregated at the census tract level (N = 5265), were used to examine different scales at which selected economic variables explain the traffic road fatality rate per 100,000 population. Twelve economic variables were initially selected and reduced to four factors (ride-sharing to work, driving alone, mean travel time to work, and work commuting) using the varimax rotation technique. The spatial pattern of the four factors in the GWR model differs significantly from…

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